I have seen many industries flourish and die as a result of government regulation which changes at times like the wind blows. One of the latest casualties may just be companies who focus on behavioral tracking such as NebuAd. As Gary Kim spells out in this well-written article, "your wallet is not safe when Congress is in session."

Still, I must say I am quite worried the government may try to do what is in the public's best interest and at the same time hurt the public. You see, I believe the ability to target ads to match the needs of web surfers, TV viewers, etc is crucial in helping to monetize content while at the same time minimizing the viewing of ads which do not interest users.

In addition, the efficiencies gained by showing more targeted ads will likely be partially passed on to consumers.

This matter is especially important today as we are seeing the migration of video content from cable and satellite to broadband or TVoIP. As this happens, new companies are emerging, looking to monetize the viewing of such content.

Let's just hope there is a favorable environment for companies looking to maximize advertising revenue while providing free service. And of course I am all for protecting privacy while ensuring service providers and others can maximize revenue.

Brian Ross Joins Acredo Technologies

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acredo.jpgHosted communications provider Acredo Technologies recently hired Mike Ross to bolster the company's sales. Acredo is headed up by Mike Ross a veteran of the communications space having worked for Dialogic, Rhetorex, Aculab and many others.

Mike's son Brian worked with dad at Aculab for many years and while there did a great job selling DSP resource boards to a number of OEM customers making the communications equipment sold to business and service provider customers.

While I must admit this isn't the biggest news -- it does signal the continued growth of the hosted market (at least from this vendor's perspective) and it also brings two of the nicest people in telecom back to the same company where they will likely be successful again.

If you want to connect with Mike Ross, be sure to come to ITEXPO the week after next to hear him speak. Here are some details.
When you have the opportunity to have Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld in a commercial, you expect something grand. After viewing this Microsoft ad below, I have to admit -- it is one of the worst commercials I have ever seen.



One of the goals of this commercial is to be viral and in that area it certainly works -- as people will talk about how bad it is and forward it around. As I watched -- I wanted to laugh. I was hoping it would be funny -- it just wasn't.

So I came up with some lines that I think are funnier than anything in the commercial. They may not be home runs but hopefully you will like them.

If computers are so smart, why do I have to write my own jokes?

If computers are 1,000 times faster today than they were twenty years ago, why do they take so long to start up?

Microsoft has done so much for mankind, when will they start helping aliens?

I hear Superman uses Vista.

There is nothing better than Excel on Vista for managing where I parked my Porsches.

If any of these are used I will expect royalties of course. Big Top points are not accepted here.

Cable Content Blog

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Whenever I go to a conference, I learn a tremendous amount from the people I meet at the show. I really enjoy the impromptu networking which takes place at events as it allows me to learn so much about what is happening in the market. Ironically, I generally learn things I didn't think I would learn ahead of time. Quite often, I wish I would have known more about peoples' experiences before I met with them as it would allow me to be better prepared to ask pertinent questions.

I further wish I knew who was coming to events and and moreover I wish I could get a "brain dump" from them before the event so I could have a frame of reference before our conversations take place.

Imagine how much better networking at a show would be if I had an idea what people were generally thinking about the market before I even say hello.

In less than two weeks the world with gather at ITEXPO -- The World's Communications Conference to help select products for purchase, learn about the latest events in the telecom market and network with peers.

It is this last area where this blog entry should be of maximal benefit. You see, over the past month or so I have been interviewing the telecom movers and shakers who will be coming to ITEXPO. I certainly didn't interview every mover and shaker (exactly what is a telecom shaker anyway  ;)  ) but this list should give you a good idea who some of the speakers and exhibitors will be at this year's show.

The questions each person answered below may be slightly varied but what is common is the person's thoughts on their markets and where they think things may be going. I truly hope you find these interviews useful and I hope to see you at the show September 16-18, 2008 at the Los Angeles Convention Center.

   
NAME COMPANY
Don Palmer Sip Print
Jim Beuoy OKS
Mark Stacy Touchstone
John Nam Phonevite
Jim Beuoy OKS
Barry Sher IVR Technologies
Ari Raban Phone.com
John Doyle CommuniGate Systems
David Mandelstam Sangoma
Sharone Ben Levi AudioCodes
Rupesh Chokshi AT&T
Jeff Gallino Callminer
Dr. David K. Schrader Teradata
Mark Ricca Intellicom Analytics
Xuedong Huang (XD) Microsoft
Rick Dell Mitel
Mark Lepko Altitude Software North America 
Liz Amaral  Enkata
Francis Carden OpenSpan
Kevin Murphy NEI
Chris Gravett Aculab
Brian Schwarz RedSky Technologies, Inc.
John Konczal Sterling Commerce 
Stefan Winkler Symmetricom
Eric Thomas FreedomVoice
Albert Chu ACCESS Systems
Bill Miller Digium (corrected -- sorry)
Randy Busch Jazinga
Jeff Hicks NetQos
Scott Charter WBS Connect
Jim Slaby Acme Packet
Dean Jordan Telesphere
Justin McLain Endeavor Telecom
Asif Rehman Mitel
Steve Safley VoIPConsultants
Frank Paterno Intelliverse
Warren Sonnen Epygi Technologies
Jim Jenkins IQ Services
Jonathan Christensen Skype
Mark De Clerq Sitel Semiconductor
Ken Kuenzel Covergence
Chris Lyman Fonality
Michael Hermann Cincinnati bell
Brough Turner NMS
Shelley Veazie CTI Group
Abdul Kasim Critical Links
Eran Gal Xorcom
Robert Messer ABP
Todd Woodstra SpinVox
Mike Coward Continuous Computing
Laura Serna Dialexia
James Rafferty Dialogic
Ken Lowe Sigma Designs
Rob McDougall Upstream Works Software
Mary Boyd Intrado
Henry Danser Aspect Software
Gregory Giagnocavo Vitelity
Vikram Saksena Sonus Networks
Alastair Westgarth Tango Networks
Greg Rothman Cbeyond
Vivek Khuller Divitas


ADC Telecommunications CEO Bob Switz appeared on CNBC this afternoon explaining his company's guidance for the full year is to be maintained. It would appear he was referring to revenue and not earnings. He also explained six weeks ago guidance was lowered. He further mentioned at the end of the second quarter, guidance was raised.

Yesterday, the company reported quarterly earnings. Apparently commodity and freight costs are to blame for pressure on earnings.

Here are the highlights from the report:

  • Net Sales of $390 Million, Up 13% from 3Q07;
  • Sales Outside the U.S. of $173 Million, Up 32% from 3Q07;
  • $0.12 GAAP EPS In 3Q08, Which Includes Certain Expenses Totaling $0.15 EPS;
  • Cash Flow Provided by Operating Activities of $56 Million in 3Q08 and $159 Million in Last 12 Months;
  • 2008 Annual Sales Guidance of $1.500-$1.520 Billion, Up 13%-15% from 2007 and a 22-23% Five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate Since 2003
ADC Telecom is certainly one of the more diversified telecom companies playing in cable, copper connectivity, Ethernet, fiber, SONET, power distribution, wireless and more.

Going forward, Switz says they have a competitive transformation platform which will lower manufacturing costs. This should help offset rising prices he says and in addition the company will pass along some of the increased costs to customers through surcharges.

Regarding the global economy, Switz says 44% of their business is outside the US and since Europe has done well (up 28%) and Asia PAC is up 52% he is optimistic. Finally he mentioned he hasn't seen recessionary effects slow the telecom business as of yet.

Here is more on how the company is doing as referenced in yesterday's quarterly earnings press release:

ADC's sales for the third quarter of 2008 were $390 million, up 13% from the third quarter of 2007 and down 3% from the second quarter of 2008. Excluding sales from the LGC Wireless and Century Man Communication acquisitions of $36 million and $35 million in the third and second quarters of 2008, respectively, adjusted sales in the third quarter of 2008 were up 3% from the third quarter of 2007 and down 4% from the second quarter of 2008.

Sales outside the United States of $173 million increased 32% from the third quarter of 2007 and 3% from the second quarter of 2008. These sales were 44% of total ADC sales in the third quarter of 2008, an increase from 42% and 38% in the second quarter of 2008 and the third quarter of 2007, respectively. Comparing the third quarters of 2008 and 2007, Europe/Middle East/Africa sales of $91 million were up 28%, Asia Pacific sales of $54 million were up 52% and Latin America sales of $18 million were up 53%. Comparing the third quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2008, Europe/Middle East/Africa sales were approximately flat, Asia Pacific sales were up 8% and Latin America sales were up 11%. The remaining sales outside the United States were in Canada.

Global Connectivity Solutions (GCS)

GCS sales of $293 million in the third quarter of 2008 increased 9% from $268 million in the same quarter in 2007. GCS generated a 7% increase in sales of global fiber connectivity solutions due to growth in central office, data center and outside plant deployments. Customers worldwide are building and deploying fiber network solutions to increase network speed and capacity. The increase in fiber sales was accompanied by a 15% increase in global copper connectivity shipments and a 4% increase in sales of global enterprise connectivity products. Global copper connectivity sales in the third quarter of 2008 and the nine months ended August 1, 2008 included $10 million and $20 million, respectively, as a result of the Century Man acquisition that closed during January 2008. Excluding the Century Man acquisition, the increase in global copper connectivity sales was primarily in other emerging world markets. Global enterprise connectivity sales grew primarily in the Asia/Pacific region.

GCS sales in the third quarter of 2008 decreased 2% from $298 million in the second quarter of 2008. Sales of global fiber connectivity products decreased 14% primarily due to lower sales of central office and data center products and to a smaller degree from lower sales of outside plant products. Sequentially, third quarter 2008 sales of global copper connectivity products increased 6%, while enterprise connectivity product sales increased 8%. Global copper connectivity sales in the third and second quarters of 2008 included sales of $10 million and $8 million, respectively, as a result of the Century Man acquisition. Excluding the Century Man acquisition, global copper connectivity sales increased primarily in other emerging world markets. Global enterprise connectivity sales grew primarily in the Asia/Pacific and Americas regions.

Network Solutions

Network Solutions' wireless sales of $32 million in the third quarter of 2008 nearly tripled from $11 million in the same quarter in 2007, but declined 8% compared to the second quarter of 2008. Wireless sales in the third quarter of 2008, the second quarter of 2008 and the nine months ended August 1, 2008 included $25 million, $27 million and $75 million, respectively, as a result of the LGC Wireless acquisition that closed in December 2007.

Network Solutions' wireline sales of $12 million in the third quarter of 2008 compared to $13 million in the same quarter in 2007 and $12 million in the second quarter of 2008. Wireline product sales are impacted by a long-term, industry-wide product substitution trend resulting in a decline in market demand for high-bit-rate digital subscriber line products as carriers deliver fiber and Internet Protocol services closer to end-user premises.

Professional Services

Professional Services' third quarter 2008 sales of $54 million were approximately flat compared to the same quarter in 2007. Third quarter 2008 sales were 7% lower than the second quarter of 2008 due largely to project timing and a decision not to renew unprofitable business in Europe.

2008 Guidance

On a continuing operations basis, ADC currently expects its 2008 sales to be in the range of $1.500-$1.520 billion, an increase of 13%-15% compared to 2007 and a 22-23% five-year compound annual growth rate since 2003. This guidance includes the results of the LGC Wireless and Century Man acquisitions that closed in the first quarter of 2008.

Based on our 2008 third quarter sales, ADC now expects fourth quarter 2008 sales to be lower than third quarter 2008 as customers' capital spending nears the end of the calendar year. For full year 2008, gross margins are expected to be around 35%; however, they are expected to rise and decline with sales volume levels and mix from quarter to quarter. Looking ahead and generally consistent with its historical seasonality, ADC anticipates that sales in the first quarter of 2009 will be lower than the fourth quarter of 2008. Sequential sales declines from the prior-year fourth quarter were 7% and 3% and in the first quarters of 2006 and 2007, respectively. Excluding the Century Man and LGC Wireless acquisitions that closed in the first quarter of 2008, sales in the first quarter of 2008 decreased 5% from the fourth quarter of 2007. ADC will provide annual financial guidance for 2009 when it reports in December 2008 its fourth quarter results for the period ending October 31, 2008.

 

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TMC Editor's Week

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In less than two weeks something extraordinary will happen. Not only will the global communications industry convene in Los Angeles for ITEXPO but there will be over 100 members of the media, analysts, etc meeting with the world's leading vendors in the communications and technology space.

In addition, well over a dozen TMC editors will be on-hand at the show for the first ever TMC Editor's Week. Close to 100 meetings have been set up by my team so far and counting.

If you are interested in having a meeting at the show with a TMC editor be sure to email Todd Keefe ASAP.

Here are a few of the TMC editors present and depending on scheduling, you can meet with them: